Three compounding drivers
Quantum systems are scaling.
Trapped-ion, superconducting, neutral-atom, and photonic systems are all improving. The point is not to predict the winning modality today. It is to avoid locking in infrastructure that cannot adapt as capability improves.
Error correction is changing the slope.
Better codes and decoding can turn the same hardware into more useful computation. That makes quantum risk a moving target rather than a fixed future date.
Hybrid orchestration makes capability deployable.
As QPUs connect to classical orchestration layers, quantum capability moves closer to the infrastructure stack. Security has to be specified where that stack is bought and integrated.